CPI (USD) preview: Market anticipates a rise from previous reading
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The highly anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is scheduled for release on October 14, 2026, at 12:30 UTC. Market consensus forecasts a reading of 334.918, an increase from the previous actual of 334.131. This release carries a High impact rating, indicating its potential to significantly influence market sentiment and price action for the US Dollar and related assets.
Historically, this CPI release has generated notable volatility. Our data shows that EURUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 21 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 39+ pips over 122 instances since 2015. GBPUSD also records a median 1-hour move of 21 pips, with top-quarter moves exceeding 42+ pips. USDJPY typically moves a median of 22 pips, with top-quarter events seeing 41+ pips. For XAUUSD, the median 1-hour move is 52 pips, and top-quarter releases have moved 108+ pips. Other pairs like AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, and USDCHF have median 1-hour moves of 15 pips. Direction-reliability statistics are not yet available for this series.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes relative to forecasts. The last print on September 11, 2026, came in at 334.131 against a forecast of 331.699, resulting in a +9.5 pips EURUSD 1-hour move. In July 2026, the actual of 332.568 against a forecast of 332.371 led to a +37 pips EURUSD 1-hour move. Other recent prints included a +20 pips move in April 2026 and a –0.9 pips move in May 2026.