EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change preview: Consensus forecasts a build
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change report is scheduled for 2026-07-15 at 14:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a build of 1.001M barrels, a notable shift from the previous week’s reported build of 2.998M barrels. This release carries a high impact rating, as changes in crude oil inventories are a key indicator of supply and demand dynamics, influencing energy prices and broader market sentiment.
Historically, this release has generated significant market reactions. For EURUSD, the median 1-hour move has been 8 pips, with top-quarter releases seeing moves of 15+ pips across 517 releases since 2015. GBPUSD has shown a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter events moving 19+ pips. USDCAD typically sees a median 1-hour move of 10 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 18+ pips. Gold, represented by XAUUSD, has experienced a median 1-hour move of 22 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 44+ pips.
Recent data shows varying inventory changes. The print on July 8, 2026, recorded an actual build of 2.998M barrels against a forecast of -1.504M. Prior to that, July 1, 2026, saw a draw of -3.775M barrels, compared to a forecast of -3.008M, with EURUSD moving +0.7 pips in the hour after. The June 24, 2026, release reported a draw of -6.088M barrels, exceeding the -4.715M forecast, and EURUSD moved +11 pips.