GDP Sales q/q preview: Consensus points to slight slowdown
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming GDP Sales q/q release for the US dollar is scheduled for October 29 at 12:30 UTC. This high impact event is a key indicator of economic activity. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 2.7%, which is slightly below the previous quarter’s 2.8%. This figure will be closely watched for insights into the current pace of economic expansion.
Historically, this release has shown a significant impact across major currency pairs and gold. For EURUSD, the median 1-hour move after past releases was 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 18+ pips. GBPUSD saw a median 1-hour move of 16 pips, and top-quarter releases moved 29+ pips. USDCAD typically experienced a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 23+ pips. USDJPY recorded a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 30+ pips. XAUUSD, or gold, showed a median 1-hour move of 39 pips, and top-quarter releases moved 89+ pips. Other pairs like AUDUSD, NZDUSD, and USDCHF also registered notable movements, with median 1-hour moves of 8 pips, 9 pips, and 10 pips respectively.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes relative to forecasts. On September 30, 2026, the actual reading was 2.8% against a forecast of 2.2%, leading to a +2.1 pips EURUSD 1-hour move. The August 26, 2026 release saw an actual 2.2% matching the forecast, followed by a -15 pips EURUSD 1-hour move. In July 2026, the actual was 2.2% versus a 1% forecast, with EURUSD moving +3.8 pips. The June 2026 print was 1.9% against a 1.5% forecast, resulting in a +25 pips EURUSD 1-hour move.