GDP Sales q/q preview: Market expects 2.2% growth
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming US GDP Sales q/q release is scheduled for September 30, 2026, at 12:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a 2.2% increase, aligning with the previous reading of 2.2%. This high-impact indicator provides insight into the overall health and growth trajectory of the US economy, measuring the change in the total value of sales of goods and services adjusted for inflation.
Historically, this release has shown notable market reactions. After past releases, EURUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 19+ pips across 95 releases since 2015. GBPUSD recorded a median 1-hour move of 16 pips, with top-quarter releases exceeding 29 pips over 95 releases. USDJPY’s median 1-hour move was 12 pips, and top-quarter releases moved 30+ pips over 92 releases. For XAUUSD, the median 1-hour move was 39 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 92+ pips across 94 releases. Direction-reliability statistics are not yet available for this event.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes. The August 2026 print registered an actual of 2.2% against a forecast of 2.2%, leading to a -15 pips EURUSD 1-hour move. In July 2026, the actual was 2.2% compared to a 1% forecast, with EURUSD moving +3.8 pips. The June 2026 release saw an actual of 1.9% versus a 1.5% forecast, resulting in a +25 pips EURUSD 1-hour move.