GDP y/y (CNY) preview: Consensus points to slower growth

China’s Gross Domestic Product, year over year, is scheduled for release on 2026-07-15 at 02:00 UTC. This high impact economic indicator is closely watched for insights into the health of the world’s second largest economy. The market consensus forecasts a reading of 4.2%, which would mark a slowdown from the previous figure of 5%. A print aligning with or diverging significantly from this consensus could influence perceptions of China’s economic trajectory and broader global growth prospects.

FXC Terminal’s measured reaction statistics for this specific series are not yet available. Therefore, we cannot provide historical data on how past releases of this particular GDP series have directly impacted currency pairs on our price feed.

Looking at recent releases, the previous actual reading for China’s GDP year over year was 5% in April 2026, against a forecast of 4.4%. Prior to that, actual figures were 4.5% in January 2026, 4.8% in October 2025, 5.2% in July 2025, 5.4% in April 2025, and 5.4% in January 2025. These figures show a gradual deceleration in annual growth rates over the past year and a half.