London Open Briefing: Friday, September 18, 2026
The London open follows an Asian session marked by a risk-on tone, with XAUUSD up +1.07%, USTEC gaining +0.84%, and the JP225 rising +0.65%. This sentiment is reflected in the +0.19 reading on the risk meter. The Japanese Yen was the weakest currency over the past 24 hours, down -0.74%, contributing to significant moves in GBPJPY up +0.62%, EURJPY up +0.58%, and USDJPY up +0.53%.
Ahead in the European session, the primary focus is on the ECB President Lagarde Speech at 10:30 UTC, a high-impact event. Positioning data indicates a +0.65 hawkish lean for recent ECB speeches. Later, the US session brings several medium-impact data releases, including Fed Industrial Production m/m and y/y at 13:15 UTC. Consensus for m/m is 0%, following a previous 0.2%, while y/y consensus is 0.9%, down from 1.1%. Fed Governor Bowman is also scheduled to speak at 13:30 UTC, followed by the CB Leading Economic Index m/m at 14:00 UTC, with a consensus of -0.1%.
In terms of market positioning, the crowd has shifted 9pt toward short on USDCHF and 9pt toward long on EURUSD over the past 24 hours. Retail books show a 24 point disagreement on GBPJPY.
Traders will pay close attention to the ECB President Lagarde Speech.
| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Biggest moves since the previous session | XAUUSD +1.07%, USTEC +0.84%, JP225 +0.65% |
| Currency strength, 24h | AUD strongest at +0.36%, JPY weakest at -0.74% |
| Risk meter | +0.19 (mildly risk-on) |
Scheduled this session (High and Medium impact)
| Time | Ccy | Event | Impact | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 UTC | EUR | ECB President Lagarde Speech | High | – |
| 10:30 UTC | EUR | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | Medium | – |
| 13:15 UTC | USD | Fed Industrial Production m/m | Medium | 0% |
| 13:15 UTC | USD | Fed Industrial Production y/y | Medium | 0.9% |
| 13:30 UTC | USD | Fed Governor Bowman Speech | Medium | – |
| 14:00 UTC | USD | CB Leading Economic Index m/m | Medium | -0.1% |
| 17:00 UTC | USD | Baker Hughes US Total Rig Count | Medium | – |
| 17:00 UTC | USD | Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count | Medium | – |
Times are UTC. This brief describes measured market state and the published schedule. It is not financial advice and nothing in it is a trade recommendation.