New York Open Briefing: Thursday, July 30, 2026
The New York session opens with a generally positive tone across global equities, as the UK100 gained +1.19%, the JP225 rose +1.09%, and the USTEC climbed +0.77%. Gold, XAUUSD, also saw gains of +0.63%, and NZDUSD advanced +0.61%. The NZD is the strongest currency over the last 24 hours, up +0.57%, while the USD is the weakest, down -0.71%. The risk meter currently stands at -0.46, indicating a slight risk-off sentiment despite the equity performance.
Recent data releases show US Initial Jobless Claims came in at 187K, below the 201K consensus. Mexico’s GDP n.s.a. y/y significantly surprised, reaching 2.2% against a 0.4% consensus, with GDP q/q also strong at 1.5% versus 1%. In Brazil, the FGV IGP-M Inflation Index m/m registered -1.16%, a notable miss against the 0.95% consensus, while Unemployment Rate and BCB Bank Lending m/m were as expected.
On positioning, the crowd has shifted on USDCHF, moving from 51% long to 55% short in 24 hours. Retail books show disagreement on AUDUSD and XAUUSD. The crowd also moved 8 points toward short on EURUSD.
Traders will monitor the BoE Governor Bailey Speech for potential market impact during the session.
| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Biggest moves since the previous session | UK100 +1.19%, JP225 +1.09%, USTEC +0.77% |
| Currency strength, 24h | NZD strongest at +0.57%, USD weakest at -0.71% |
| Risk meter | -0.46 (risk-off) |
Scheduled this session (High and Medium impact)
| Time | Ccy | Event | Impact | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:15 UTC | GBP | BoE Governor Bailey Speech | High | – |
| 23:30 UTC | JPY | Tokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y | High | 1.7% |
| 23:30 UTC | JPY | Tokyo Core CPI y/y | Medium | 1.8% |
| 23:50 UTC | JPY | Retail Sales m/m | High | -1.5% |
| 23:50 UTC | JPY | Large Retailer’s Sales y/y | Medium | 3.5% |
| 23:50 UTC | JPY | Industrial Production m/m | Medium | -0.5% |
| 01:00 UTC | CNY | Composite PMI | Medium | – |
| 01:30 UTC | AUD | PPI y/y | Medium | 3.3% |
Times are UTC. This brief describes measured market state and the published schedule. It is not financial advice and nothing in it is a trade recommendation.