New York Open Briefing: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
The New York session opens with a notable upside surprise in US employment data, setting an early tone for dollar pairs. Gold, XAUUSD, has advanced +1.68%, while the Japanese JP225 equity index is up +0.75%. Conversely, the German DE40 index has declined -0.63%. The overall market sentiment registers a +0.12 on the risk meter. In currency strength over the past 24 hours, the Euro, EUR, leads with +0.28%, while the New Zealand Dollar, NZD, is the weakest, down -0.37%. The US Dollar, USD, has seen a slight decline of -0.08%.
Earlier releases saw the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change report an actual figure of 44K, significantly surpassing the consensus of -12K, marking a +466.7% surprise. Mexico’s Gross Fixed Investments data showed a year over year actual of 2.4% against a 5.3% consensus, and a month over month actual of -0.4% against a 2.4% consensus. Germany conducted several bond auctions, with the 10-Year yielding 3.01%, the 5-Year 2.71%, and the 30-Year 3.6%.
Attention now turns to a series of US data releases. At 13:45 UTC, the S&P Global Services PMI is expected, with a consensus of 52.7 following a previous 51.2. The S&P Global Composite PMI is also due, with a consensus of 53. Shortly after, at 14:00 UTC, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is anticipated at 54.3, from a previous 54. Traders will also monitor the ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid, with a consensus of 62, down from 67.7, and ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment at 51.9. Later, at 14:30 UTC, the EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change is expected at -1.257M.
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI will be a key focus for traders this session.
| At a glance | |
|---|---|
| Biggest moves since the previous session | XAUUSD +1.68%, JP225 +0.75%, DE40 -0.63% |
| Currency strength, 24h | EUR strongest at +0.28%, NZD weakest at -0.37% |
| Risk meter | +0.12 (mildly risk-on) |
Scheduled this session (High and Medium impact)
| Time | Ccy | Event | Impact | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 UTC | USD | S&P Global Services PMI | High | 52.7 |
| 13:45 UTC | USD | S&P Global Composite PMI | Medium | 53 |
| 14:00 UTC | USD | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | High | 54.3 |
| 14:00 UTC | USD | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid | High | 62 |
| 14:00 UTC | USD | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | Medium | 51.9 |
| 14:00 UTC | USD | ISM Services PMI | Medium | 54.5 |
| 14:30 UTC | USD | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | High | -1.257M |
| 14:30 UTC | USD | EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change | Medium | 0.417M |
Times are UTC. This brief describes measured market state and the published schedule. It is not financial advice and nothing in it is a trade recommendation.