UK CPI y/y comes in at 3.1% against 2.5% consensus - ForexCracked
Event recap GBP

UK CPI y/y comes in at 3.1% against 2.5% consensus

Published Sep 16, 06:30 UTC
Impact
6/ 10, medium
Market reaction Live, FXC rate feed
PairNowSince publish
GBPUSD——
Change measured from story publish at 06:30 UTC, from our own MT4 feed.

The United Kingdom’s Consumer Price Index year over year (CPI y/y) was released today, September 16, 2026, at 06:00 UTC. The actual figure came in at 3.1%. This print was notably above the consensus expectation of 2.5% and also higher than the previous reading of 2.6%.

Following the release, the British Pound showed a mixed reaction against major currencies. EURGBP moved up +5.0 pips after 15 minutes. GBPAUD was up +0.2 pips after 15 minutes, while GBPCAD was down -6.4 pips. GBPCHF declined -11 pips, GBPJPY fell -25 pips, and GBPNZD was down -24 pips. GBPUSD saw a -7.0 pip decline after 15 minutes. Compared to historical data, the measured moves so far are generally small relative to typical 1-hour movements. For instance, GBPUSD’s median 1-hour move is 14 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 26+ pips. The direction reliability for GBPUSD after past releases is 59%.

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