US GDP Sales q/q preview: Consensus holds at 2.2% amid high impact rating

The United States is set to release its GDP Sales q/q data on August 26, 2026, at 12:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a 2.2% growth rate, which aligns with the previous period’s reading of 2.2%. This economic indicator is considered a high impact release for the US Dollar, providing insight into the overall health and spending trends within the economy. Traders will monitor any divergence from the consensus figure, as such changes have historically influenced market sentiment.

Historically, this release has generated notable price movements across major currency pairs and gold. For EURUSD, the median 1-hour move after past releases has been 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 19+ pips over 94 instances since 2015. GBPUSD has shown a median 1-hour move of 16 pips, with top-quarter moves exceeding 30+ pips across 94 releases. USDJPY has recorded a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 29+ pips over 91 instances. Gold, XAUUSD, has experienced a median 1-hour move of 39 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 85+ pips over 93 instances. Other pairs such as AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, and USDCHF have also shown median 1-hour moves ranging from 8 pips to 11 pips after these events.

Recent history shows varied outcomes for this indicator. The previous reading, released on July 30, 2026, came in at 2.2% against a forecast of 1%, with EURUSD moving +3.8 pips in the hour following. Prior to that, the June 25, 2026, release showed 1.9% growth against a 1.5% forecast, leading to a +25 pip EURUSD move. The May 28, 2026, reading was 1.5% versus a 1.6% forecast, resulting in an +8.5 pip EURUSD move.