BCB Focus Market Report - ForexCracked
0.04 pip average spreads, measured over a full month of live data. Unrestricted EAs and a free MT5 virtual server.Open an accountOpen
BRL

BCB Focus Market Report BRL

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Mon, Sep 14 11:30 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The BCB Focus Market Report is a recurring survey compiled and published by the Central Bank of Brazil, bcb.gov.br. It gathers market expectations for various economic indicators, primarily within the money sector, offering insight into the consensus outlook for the Brazilian economy.

Forex traders monitor this report for its implications on the Brazilian Real, BRL. Shifts in market expectations for inflation, interest rates, and economic growth can influence the Central Bank of Brazil’s monetary policy decisions. Changes in policy outlook, in turn, affect the attractiveness of the BRL, leading to a Medium typical impact on the currency.

The market typically focuses on changes in the consensus forecasts for key indicators, such as future interest rates and inflation targets. Significant deviations from previous readings or unexpected shifts in future projections have historically drawn attention. The report’s value often lies in tracking the evolving sentiment of financial analysts and economists regarding the nation’s economic trajectory.

How hard it hits, measured

16 releases · own feed
Typical USDBRL move
102pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
138pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDBRL0.0p0.0p102p138p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDBRL 1h
Sep 8, 2026
Aug 31, 2026
Aug 24, 2026
Aug 17, 2026
Aug 10, 2026
Aug 3, 2026
Jul 27, 2026
Jul 20, 2026
Jul 13, 2026
Jul 6, 2026
Jun 29, 2026
Jun 22, 2026
Jun 15, 2026
Jun 8, 2026
Jun 1, 2026
May 25, 2026
May 18, 2026
May 11, 2026
May 4, 2026
Apr 27, 2026
Apr 20, 2026
Apr 13, 2026
Apr 6, 2026
Mar 30, 2026

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDBRL move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
← Back to the economic calendar