Industrial Production y/y - ForexCracked
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BRL

Industrial Production y/y BRL

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Nov 5 12:00 UTC · consensus 1.2% · previous -1.2%  

What this release is

Industrial Production y/y (BRL) tracks the annual percentage change in the total output of Brazil’s industrial sector. This monthly release, focusing on the business sector, is published by ibge.gov.br, the national statistics office responsible for official economic data.

Forex traders monitor this release as a key indicator of Brazil’s economic health. Sustained growth in industrial output can signal a robust economy, potentially influencing the central bank’s stance on monetary policy. Changes in policy expectations can affect the attractiveness of the Brazilian Real.

The market typically focuses on the headline annual growth rate upon release. Revisions to previous months’ data can also draw attention, providing additional context on economic trends. While not always a primary market mover, its consistent monthly release contributes to the broader economic narrative for the Brazilian Real.

How hard it hits, measured

5 releases · own feed
Typical USDBRL move
216pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
246pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDBRL54p58p216p246p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDBRL 1h
Oct 2, 2026-1.2%2%-0.5%———
Sep 2, 2026-0.5%2.3%1.7%———
Aug 4, 20261.7%-0.6%0.2%———
Jul 3, 20260.2%—2.7%2.7%——
Jun 3, 20262.7%2.4%4.3%4.4%——
May 7, 20264.3%-0.8%-0.7%———
Apr 2, 2026-0.7%-0.8%0.2%———
Mar 6, 20260.2%-0.7%0.4%-0.1%——
Feb 3, 20260.4%-0.7%-1.2%———
Jan 8, 2026-1.2%-0.5%-0.5%———
Dec 2, 2025-0.5%0%2%———
Nov 4, 20252%-2%-0.7%———
Oct 3, 2025-0.7%0.6%0.2%———
Sep 3, 20250.2%1.3%-1.3%———
Aug 1, 2025-1.3%1.7%3.3%———
Jul 2, 20253.3%1.5%-0.3%-0.5%——
Jun 3, 2025-0.3%1.8%3.1%———
May 7, 20253.1%2.4%1.5%1.3%——
Apr 2, 20251.5%1.8%1.4%1.3%——
Mar 11, 20251.4%1.8%1.6%1.4%——
Feb 5, 20251.6%2.2%1.7%———
Jan 8, 20251.7%2.3%5.8%———
Dec 4, 20245.8%2.3%3.4%———
Nov 1, 20243.4%2.1%2.2%2.3%——

Showing the latest 24 of 123 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDBRL move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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