CFTC BRL Non-Commercial Net Positions - ForexCracked
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BRL

CFTC BRL Non-Commercial Net Positions BRL

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Sep 11 19:30 UTC · consensus TBA · previous 72.8K  

What this release is

The CFTC BRL Non-Commercial Net Positions report details the net speculative positions held in Brazilian Real futures contracts by large non-commercial traders. This weekly release is published by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, an agency of the United States government. It provides insight into the sentiment of a specific segment of market participants regarding the Brazilian Real.

Forex traders monitor this market sector report to gauge the prevailing speculative sentiment toward the Brazilian Real. Significant shifts in net non-commercial positioning can reflect changes in investor expectations for the currency’s future direction. Large, sustained net long or net short positions have historically preceded periods of notable BRL movement, as these positions can influence market liquidity and price action.

This weekly release typically garners a medium impact rating among market participants. Traders often focus on the headline net position figure and significant week over week changes, looking for trends in speculative interest. While revisions are not a primary feature of this report, the timing of its release allows for integration into broader weekly market analysis, contributing to the overall understanding of BRL market dynamics.

How hard it hits, measured

15 releases · own feed
Typical USDBRL move
25pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
36pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDBRL5.0p17p25p36p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDBRL 1h
Sep 4, 202672.8K67.9K
Aug 28, 202667.9K68.7K
Aug 21, 202668.7K66.3K
Aug 14, 202666.3K64K
Aug 7, 202664K39.5K
Jul 31, 202639.5K35.5K
Jul 24, 202635.5K32.8K
Jul 17, 202632.8K30.8K
Jul 10, 202630.8K44.7K
Jul 6, 202644.7K43.7K
Jun 26, 202643.7K41K
Jun 22, 202641K43.8K
Jun 12, 202643.8K47K
Jun 5, 202647K71.7K
May 29, 202671.7K71K
May 22, 202671K68.6K
May 15, 202668.6K66.8K
May 8, 202666.8K46.4K
May 1, 202646.4K43.5K
Apr 24, 202643.5K40K
Apr 17, 202640K40.1K
Apr 10, 202640.1K52.7K
Apr 3, 202652.7K49.2K
Mar 27, 202649.2K49.3K

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDBRL move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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