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MXN

CPI m/m MXN

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Mon, Nov 9 12:00 UTC · consensus 0.35% · previous 0.42%  

What this release is

Mexico’s Consumer Price Index, or CPI, measures the monthly change in the cost of a basket of consumer goods and services. This key indicator of inflation is published by the national statistics office of Mexico, INEGI, on a monthly basis.

Forex traders monitor the CPI m/m as a primary gauge of inflationary pressures within the Mexican economy. Elevated inflation can prompt the central bank to consider adjustments to its monetary policy, particularly interest rates. Such policy shifts can influence the attractiveness of the Mexican peso for investors.

After past releases, the market typically focuses on the headline month over month figure. Revisions to prior data are also noted for their implications. This release, categorized under the prices sector, often has a medium impact on market movements.

How hard it hits, measured

5 releases · own feed
Typical USDMXN move
55pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
143pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDMXN51p62p55p143p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDMXN 1h
Oct 8, 20260.42%0.15%0.2%———
Sep 9, 20260.2%0.14%0.03%———
Aug 7, 20260.03%0.19%-0.27%———
Jul 9, 2026-0.27%0.25%-0.21%———
Jun 9, 2026-0.21%0.15%0.2%———
May 7, 20260.2%0.63%0.86%———
Apr 9, 20260.86%0.33%0.5%———
Mar 9, 20260.5%0.29%0.38%———
Feb 9, 20260.38%0.28%0.28%———
Jan 8, 20260.28%0.37%0.66%———
Dec 9, 20250.66%0.21%0.36%———
Nov 7, 20250.36%0.15%0.23%———
Oct 9, 20250.23%0.16%0.06%———
Sep 9, 20250.06%0.21%0.27%———
Aug 7, 20250.27%0.3%0.28%———
Jul 9, 20250.28%0.32%0.28%———
Jun 9, 20250.28%0.32%0.33%———
May 8, 20250.33%0.31%0.31%———
Apr 9, 20250.31%0.31%0.28%———
Mar 7, 20250.28%0.32%0.29%———
Feb 7, 20250.29%0.32%0.38%———
Jan 9, 20250.38%0.53%0.44%———
Dec 9, 20240.44%0.56%0.55%———
Nov 7, 20240.55%0.57%0.05%———

Showing the latest 24 of 123 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDMXN move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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