AUD Employment Change preview: Consensus points to slower job growth
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| AUDUSD | — | — |
Australia’s Employment Change report is scheduled for release on October 15, 2026, at 00:30 UTC. The market consensus anticipates an addition of 19.6K jobs, a decrease from the previous reading of 39.5K. This economic indicator is rated as high impact for the Australian dollar, reflecting its significance for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy outlook and broader economic sentiment.
Historically, this release has generated notable volatility across AUD pairs. Our data indicates that AUDCAD has seen a median 1-hour move of 17 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 27+ pips. AUDCHF typically moves 13 pips, with top-quarter events seeing 21+ pips. AUDJPY has a median move of 20 pips, and top-quarter releases move 30+ pips. AUDNZD shows a median move of 16 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 32+ pips. For AUDUSD, the median 1-hour move is 15 pips, and top-quarter releases move 24+ pips. EURAUD has a median move of 27 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 53+ pips, while GBPAUD has a median move of 30 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 55+ pips. The direction reliability on AUDUSD after past releases stands at 61%.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes. The September 2026 print saw 39.5K jobs added against a 29.2K forecast, with AUDUSD moving -9.4 pips. In August 2026, the actual was -15.8K versus a 31.6K forecast, resulting in a -13 pip move for AUDUSD. The July 2026 release recorded 76.3K jobs, well above the 15.7K forecast, leading to a +14 pip move for AUDUSD.