Australia Employment Change - ForexCracked
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Australia · Employment

Australia Employment Change AUD

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Sep 24 01:30 UTC · consensus 29.2K · previous -15.8K  

What this release is

Australia Employment Change measures the net monthly shift in the number of people employed across Australia, encompassing both full-time and part-time positions. This key labor market statistic is compiled and released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, ABS.

Forex traders closely monitor this release because employment trends are a primary indicator of economic health and potential inflationary pressures. The Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA, considers labor market strength, including employment growth, when assessing monetary policy. Strong employment figures can suggest a tighter monetary policy stance, which often supports the Australian Dollar, AUD.

After past releases, market participants typically focus on the headline employment change figure. Revisions to previous months’ data are also observed for insights into the underlying trend. The breakdown between full-time and part-time employment, alongside the unemployment rate, provides additional context. This monthly report typically has a high impact on the Australian Dollar.

How hard it hits, measured

121 releases · own feed
Typical AUDUSD move
15pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
24pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
85pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
AUDUSD11p12p15p24p
AUDCAD13p15p17p28p
AUDCHF10p12p13p21p
AUDJPY15p16p20p30p
AUDNZD15p17p17p32p
EURAUD26p24p27p53p
GBPAUD29p25p30p55p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus AUDUSD closed the hour higher in 34 of 54 cases · median +5.7p n=54 live
Miss below consensus AUDUSD closed the hour lower in 31 of 52 cases · median -4.0p n=52 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toAUDUSD 1h
Aug 20, 2026-15.8K31.6K76.3K80.2K-13p
Jul 23, 202676.3K15.7K40.3K44K+14p
Jun 25, 202640.3K15.8K-18.6K-40.7K-4.3p
May 21, 2026-18.6K17.4K17.9K23.3K-42p
Apr 16, 202617.9K18.8K48.9K49.7K+11p
Mar 19, 202648.9K10.4K17.8K26.1K+2.7p
Feb 19, 202617.8K25.1K65.2K68.5K+19p
Jan 22, 202665.2K11.7K-21.3K-28.7K+33p
Dec 11, 2025-21.3K15.5K42.2K41.1K+0.7p
Nov 13, 202542.2K5.7K14.9K12.8K+21p
Oct 16, 202514.9K30.9K-5.4K-11.9K-20p
Sep 18, 2025-5.4K24.4K24.5K26.5K-0.4p
Aug 14, 202524.5K21.4K2K1K+4.3p
Jul 17, 20252K40.2K-2.5K-1.1K-33p
Jun 19, 2025-2.5K44.2K89K87.6K-13p
May 15, 202589K36.5K32.2K36.4K-1.3p
Apr 17, 202532.2K-7.1K-52.8K-57.5K+8.8p
Mar 20, 2025-52.8K59.7K44K30.5K-22p
Feb 20, 202544K57.4K56.3K60K+7.8p
Jan 16, 202556.3K16.6K35.6K28.2K+0.7p
Dec 12, 202435.6K24.4K15.9K12.1K+34p
Nov 14, 202415.9K60K64.1K61.3K-4.7p
Oct 17, 202464.1K50.5K47.5K42.6K+32p
Sep 19, 202447.5K38.7K58.2K48.9K+37p

Showing the latest 24 of 121 tracked releases.

Reaction = AUDUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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