Australia GDP q/q - ForexCracked
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Australia · Gdp

Australia GDP q/q AUD

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Sep 24 01:30 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

Australia Gross Domestic Product, or GDP, measures the total value of all goods and services produced within the Australian economy during a quarter, compared to the previous quarter. This report is a key indicator of the nation’s economic health and growth. The Australian Bureau of Statistics, ABS, is responsible for compiling and releasing this data.

Forex traders monitor Australia’s GDP figures closely as they provide insight into the country’s economic performance. Stronger economic growth, as indicated by a higher GDP reading, can suggest a more robust economy. This might influence the Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA, in its monetary policy decisions. Expectations of tighter monetary policy can increase demand for the Australian dollar, AUD, while weaker growth may suggest potential for policy easing.

The market typically focuses on the headline quarter over quarter growth rate upon release. Significant revisions to previous quarters’ data are also observed, as these can reshape the overall economic narrative. After past releases, market participants have adjusted their outlooks for the Australian economy and the future path of RBA policy, influencing the Australian dollar’s valuation.

How hard it hits, measured

41 releases · own feed
Typical AUDUSD move
8pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
17pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
41pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
AUDUSD7.6p8.4p8.2p17p
AUDCAD7.8p9.2p9.6p20p
AUDCHF7.1p7.8p9.3p20p
AUDJPY8.3p11p17p27p
AUDNZD9.3p11p12p20p
EURAUD15p17p20p41p
GBPAUD18p20p22p48p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus AUDUSD closed the hour higher in 6 of 10 cases · median +1.8p n=10 live
Miss below consensus AUDUSD closed the hour lower in 11 of 21 cases · median -0.6p n=21 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=3 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toAUDUSD 1h
Sep 2, 20260.4%0.3%0.3%—-4.6pStory
Jun 3, 20260.3%0.6%0.8%0.9%-0.6p—
Mar 4, 20260.8%—0.4%0.5%-37p—
Dec 3, 20250.4%0.6%0.6%—-1.3p—
Sep 3, 20250.6%0.6%0.2%0.2%+8.0p—
Jun 4, 20250.2%0.6%0.6%—+8.0p—
Mar 5, 20250.6%0.6%0.3%—-1.6p—
Dec 4, 20240.3%0.6%0.2%—-16p—
Sep 4, 20240.2%0.6%0.1%0.2%+7.7p—
Jun 5, 20240.1%0.6%0.2%0.3%+14p—
Mar 6, 20240.2%0.7%0.2%0.3%-2.3p—
Dec 6, 20230.2%0.7%0.4%—+12p—
Sep 6, 20230.4%0.7%0.2%0.4%+4.1p—
Jun 7, 20230.2%0.7%0.5%0.6%-8.4p—
Mar 1, 20230.5%0.7%0.6%0.7%-4.1p—
Dec 7, 20220.6%0.7%0.9%—-4.7p—
Sep 7, 20220.9%0.6%0.8%0.7%+5.0p—
Jun 1, 20220.8%0.6%3.4%3.6%-2.5p—
Mar 2, 20223.4%0.5%-1.9%—+3.0p—
Dec 1, 2021-1.9%0.6%0.7%—+10p—
Sep 1, 20210.7%0.5%1.8%1.9%+6.3p—
Jun 2, 20211.8%0.4%3.1%3.2%+0.6p—
Mar 3, 20213.1%4.1%3.3%3.4%+2.8p—
Dec 2, 20203.3%-7.8%-7%—-2.6p—

Showing the latest 24 of 41 tracked releases.

Reaction = AUDUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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