Australia GDP preview: Growth expected to hold steady
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| AUDUSD | — | — |
Australia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter is scheduled for release on September 2, 2026, at 01:30 UTC. Market consensus forecasts a 0.3% quarter-over-quarter growth, matching the previous reading of 0.3%. This economic indicator is considered a high-impact release for the Australian dollar, providing a broad measure of economic activity and health.
Historically, this release has generated notable volatility across AUD pairs. On AUDUSD, the median 1-hour move after past releases was 8 pips, with top-quarter movements exceeding 17 pips. AUDJPY has seen a median 1-hour move of 18 pips, with top-quarter moves over 28 pips. EURAUD has shown a median 1-hour move of 20 pips, with top-quarter releases moving over 43 pips. GBPAUD has recorded a median 1-hour move of 22 pips, with top-quarter moves over 49 pips. For AUDCAD and AUDCHF, median 1-hour moves were 10 pips each, while AUDNZD saw a median move of 12 pips. The direction reliability on AUDUSD has been 57% in a live sample.
Recent history shows varied reactions to Australia GDP prints. The June 2026 release saw an actual 0.3% against a 0.6% forecast, with AUDUSD moving -0.6 pips in the hour following. The March 2026 actual was 0.8%, leading to a -37 pips move for AUDUSD. In December 2025, an actual 0.4% against a 0.6% forecast resulted in a -1.3 pips AUDUSD move. The September 2025 and June 2025 releases both saw AUDUSD move +8.0 pips.