AUD Unemployment Rate preview: Consensus holds steady at 4.6%
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| AUDUSD | — | — |
The upcoming Australian Unemployment Rate release is scheduled for October 15 at 00:30 UTC. Market consensus forecasts the rate to hold steady at 4.6%, matching the previous reading. This release is rated as having a high impact on the market, making it a key data point for AUD pairs.
Historically, this release has often led to notable movements in AUD crosses. For AUDCAD, the median 1-hour move after past releases has been 17 pips, with top-quarter moves exceeding 27 pips. AUDCHF has seen a median 1-hour move of 13 pips, with top-quarter moves over 21 pips. AUDJPY typically sees a median move of 20 pips, with top-quarter moves above 30 pips. AUDNZD has a median 1-hour move of 16 pips, and top-quarter releases have moved more than 32 pips. For AUDUSD, the median 1-hour move is 15 pips, with top-quarter moves exceeding 24 pips. Crosses involving AUD have also shown significant activity, with EURAUD recording a median 1-hour move of 27 pips and top-quarter moves over 53 pips, while GBPAUD has a median 1-hour move of 30 pips and top-quarter moves above 55 pips. These statistics are based on over 120 releases since 2015.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes relative to forecasts. The September 2026 release saw an actual rate of 4.6% against a forecast of 4.5%, with AUDUSD moving -9.4 pips in the hour after. In August 2026, the actual rate was 4.5% compared to a 4.3% forecast, resulting in a -13 pip move for AUDUSD. The July 2026 print was 4.4% against a 4.5% forecast, leading to a +14 pip move for AUDUSD.