Australia Monthly CPI Indicator y/y preview: Inflation expected to moderate
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| AUDUSD | — | — |
The Australia Monthly CPI Indicator year over year is scheduled for release on 2026-08-26 at 01:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 3.3%, a notable decrease from the previous 3.8%. This high impact release provides a crucial update on Australia’s inflation trends, closely watched by the Reserve Bank of Australia for its monetary policy decisions.
Historically, this release has generated significant market activity. Our data indicates that AUDUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 17 pips after past releases, with top-quarter events moving 26+ pips. Direction reliability for AUDUSD stands at 66%. Other AUD pairs also show notable volatility, with AUDCAD experiencing a median 22 pip move, AUDJPY a median 20 pip move, and AUDNZD a median 22 pip move. Crosses like EURAUD and GBPAUD have seen even larger median 1-hour moves of 40 pips and 46 pips respectively.
Recent prints show varied outcomes relative to forecasts. The July 2026 release registered 3.9% against a 5.1% forecast, followed by a -17 pip AUDUSD move. In April 2026, the actual 4.1% was below the 4.5% forecast, resulting in a -7.3 pip AUDUSD move. The January 2026 print of 3.6% closely matched the 3.5% forecast, leading to a minor -0.6 pip AUDUSD change.