Consumer Price Expectations (EUR) preview: Consensus points to a notable increase
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
The Eurozone is set to release its Consumer Price Expectations data on October 29 at 10:00 UTC. This is rated as a high-impact event for the Euro. Market consensus projects a reading of 41.1, a notable increase from the previous figure of 35.2. This indicator provides insights into future inflation trends, which are closely watched by the European Central Bank.
Historically, this release has generated significant movement across EUR pairs. For EURAUD, the median 1-hour move after past releases was 11 pips, with top-quarter moves exceeding 17 pips. EURCAD saw a median move of 7 pips, with top-quarter moves over 12 pips. EURCHF typically moved 5 pips at the median, with top-quarter moves above 8 pips. EURGBP also had a median move of 5 pips, with top-quarter moves over 9 pips. For EURJPY, the median move was 9 pips, and top-quarter moves surpassed 15 pips. EURNZD recorded a median move of 10 pips, with top-quarter moves above 17 pips. Finally, EURUSD experienced a median 1-hour move of 6 pips, and top-quarter moves were greater than 12 pips. These statistics are based on 120 to 123 releases measured since 2015.
Recent prints for Consumer Price Expectations (EUR) have shown varied outcomes. The September 2026 release came in at 35.2 against a forecast of 32, leading to a -13 pips 1-hour move in EURUSD. In August 2026, the actual was 33 versus a forecast of 24.4, with EURUSD moving -4.8 pips. The July 2026 release saw an actual of 30.3 against a forecast of 40, resulting in a +16 pips move for EURUSD. The June 2026 actual was 34 compared to a forecast of 48.1, with EURUSD moving +7.4 pips. May 2026 had an actual of 40.5 against a forecast of 50.9, leading to a -2.5 pips move in EURUSD. April 2026’s actual was 49.1 versus a forecast of 39.5, with EURUSD moving -2.7 pips.