Consumer Price Expectations (EUR) preview: Consensus points to a rise from previous
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
The Eurozone will see the release of its Consumer Price Expectations data on July 30, 2026, at 09:00 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 40, an increase from the previous figure of 34. This release carries a high impact rating, making it a significant indicator for inflation outlooks and potential implications for European Central Bank policy discussions.
Historically, this release has generated notable movements across EUR pairs. EURAUD and EURNZD have seen median 1-hour moves of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 17 or more pips. EURJPY has a median 1-hour move of 8 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 15 or more pips. EURCAD typically sees a median 1-hour move of 7 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 13 or more pips. For EURUSD, the median 1-hour move is 6 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 11 or more pips. EURCHF and EURGBP have recorded median 1-hour moves of 5 pips. Top-quarter releases for EURCHF moved 8 or more pips, and for EURGBP, 9 or more pips. These statistics are based on 117 to 120 releases measured since 2015. Directional reliability statistics are not yet available for this event.
Recent actual readings have shown variability against forecasts. In June 2026, the actual was 34 against a forecast of 48.1, leading to a +7.4 pip move in EURUSD. The May 2026 release saw an actual of 40.5 versus a forecast of 50.9, with EURUSD moving -2.5 pips. The January 2026 release, where actual matched forecast at 24.1, resulted in a -14 pip move for EURUSD.