Consumer Price Expectations (EUR) preview: Consensus points to a slight dip
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
Market consensus for the upcoming Consumer Price Expectations (EUR) release on September 29 at 09:00 UTC stands at 32. This represents a slight decrease from the previous reading of 33. Given its high impact rating, this data point is closely watched for insights into future inflation trends and potential implications for European Central Bank policy.
Historically, this release has shown notable price action across EUR pairs. On average, EURAUD and EURNZD have seen median 1-hour moves of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 17+ pips. EURJPY typically experiences a median 1-hour move of 8 pips, with top-quarter events reaching 15+ pips. For EURCAD, the median 1-hour move is 7 pips, and top-quarter releases move 13+ pips. EURUSD has a median 1-hour move of 6 pips, with top-quarter events moving 11+ pips. EURCHF and EURGBP both show median 1-hour moves of 5 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 9+ pips.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes relative to forecasts. The August 28, 2026 release saw an actual of 33 against a forecast of 24.4, with EURUSD moving -4.8 pips in the hour following. On July 30, 2026, the actual was 30.3 compared to a forecast of 40, leading to a +16 pips move for EURUSD. The June 29, 2026 print was 34 versus a forecast of 48.1, resulting in a +7.4 pips EURUSD move. The May 28, 2026 release had an actual of 40.5 against a forecast of 50.9, with EURUSD moving -2.5 pips. April 29, 2026 saw an actual of 49.1 and a forecast of 39.5, followed by a -2.7 pips EURUSD move. Finally, the March 30, 2026 release showed an actual of 43.4 against a forecast of 24.5, with EURUSD moving -1.6 pips.