Core PCE Price Index y/y comes in at 3.3% against 3.5% consensus
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The Core PCE Price Index y/y for the USD, released on 2026-07-30, registered 3.3%. This figure was below the consensus expectation of 3.5% and also lower than the previous reading of 3.4%. The actual print represented a -5.7% surprise compared to the market consensus.
Measured market reactions 15 minutes after the release showed AUDUSD up +0.9 pips, EURUSD up +5.2 pips, and GBPUSD down -0.3 pips. NZDUSD gained +0.5 pips. USDCAD was up +3.6 pips, USDCHF up +0.3 pips, and USDJPY was down -17 pips. XAUUSD moved up +7.2 pips. These initial movements are generally small when compared to the typical median 1-hour moves observed after similar releases, which include 8 pips for AUDUSD, 11 pips for EURUSD, 13 pips for GBPUSD, 8 pips for NZDUSD, 13 pips for USDCAD, 7 pips for USDCHF, 10 pips for USDJPY, and 29 pips for XAUUSD.