EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change comes in at 0.922M against -0.701M consensus
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change reported an increase of 0.922M barrels, released at 14:30 UTC on 2026-09-30. This figure contrasted with the market consensus, which had anticipated a decrease of -0.701M barrels. The actual print represented a 231.5% surprise compared to the consensus. The previous week’s reading was an increase of 2.969M barrels.
Following the release, market reactions were observed across several pairs. Fifteen minutes after the data, AUDUSD was up +3.2 pips, EURUSD was down -0.7 pips, GBPUSD was up +7.2 pips, and NZDUSD was up +5.1 pips. USDCAD was down -1.8 pips, USDCHF was down -6.4 pips, and USDJPY was up +2.9 pips. XAUUSD was down -19 pips. These initial movements are generally smaller than the typical median 1-hour moves observed after past EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change releases. For example, the median 1-hour move for AUDUSD is 7 pips, for EURUSD it is 8 pips, for GBPUSD it is 11 pips, for NZDUSD it is 6 pips, for USDCAD it is 10 pips, for USDCHF it is 7 pips, for USDJPY it is 8 pips, and for XAUUSD it is 23 pips.