EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change preview: Consensus forecasts an increase to 5.39M

The upcoming EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change report is scheduled for release on August 26, 2026, at 14:30 UTC. This release is rated as having a High impact on the market. The market consensus anticipates an increase of 5.39M barrels for the latest period. This compares to the previous reading, which showed an increase of 4.405M barrels. The data reflects changes in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by US commercial firms, which can influence global oil prices and related currency pairs due to supply and demand dynamics.

Historically, this release has often led to notable market movements. For instance, AUDUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 7 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 12+ pips over 521 releases since 2015. EURUSD typically experiences a median 1-hour move of 8 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 14+ pips over 523 releases. GBPUSD has a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, and top-quarter releases have moved 19+ pips over 525 releases. USDCAD has observed a median 1-hour move of 10 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 18+ pips over 525 releases. XAUUSD, gold, has shown a median 1-hour move of 22 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 46+ pips over 519 releases.

Recent data shows the previous actual reading was an increase of 4.405M barrels, following a forecast of 6.913M. Prior to that, actual readings have varied, including a significant increase of 17.423M in mid-August and a decrease of 7.167M in late July.