EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change preview: Consensus points to smaller inventory draw
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change release, scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 14:30 UTC, is anticipated to show a change of -1.257M according to market consensus. This figure represents a considerably smaller draw in crude oil inventories compared to the previous reading of -7.167M. Given the high impact rating for this event, market participants will closely monitor the actual data for its implications on crude oil prices and related currency pairs.
Historically, this release has generated notable market movements. Our data indicates that EURUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 8 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 15+ pips. GBPUSD has experienced a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 19+ pips. USDCAD typically sees a median 1-hour move of 10 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 18+ pips. For XAUUSD, the median 1-hour move is 22 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 45+ pips. Other pairs such as AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF, and USDJPY have also shown median 1-hour moves of 7 pips, 6 pips, 7 pips, and 8 pips respectively, with their top-quarter moves ranging from 11+ pips to 15+ pips.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes. The most recent print on July 29, 2026, recorded an actual draw of -7.167M against a forecast of 5.131M, resulting in a -15 pip 1-hour move in EURUSD. Prior to that, July 22, 2026, saw an actual build of 2.01M against a forecast of 1.978M, with EURUSD moving +1.9 pips.