EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change preview: Consensus projects a build after last week’s draw
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change report is scheduled for 2026-09-23 at 14:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a 0.895M build in crude oil inventories. This follows the previous reading of a -0.64M draw. This release is rated as having a High impact on the market.
Historically, this High impact release has led to notable movements across major currency pairs and gold. For AUDUSD, the median 1-hour move has been 7 pips, with top-quarter releases seeing 12+ pips. EURUSD typically sees a median 8 pips move, with top-quarter releases moving 14+ pips. GBPUSD has a median 11 pips move, and top-quarter releases show 19+ pips. NZDUSD’s median move is 6 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 10+ pips. USDCAD has a median 10 pips move, and top-quarter releases move 18+ pips. USDCHF typically moves 7 pips at the median, with top-quarter releases moving 12+ pips. USDJPY has a median 8 pips move, with top-quarter releases moving 15+ pips. Gold, XAUUSD, has seen a median 1-hour move of 23 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 46+ pips. Directional reliability statistics are not yet available for this release.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes compared to forecasts. The most recent actual reading was -0.64M following a forecast of 6.729M, which saw EURUSD move -0.3 pips in one hour. Prior to that, an actual of -0.391M against a 7.559M forecast resulted in a -8.8 pips EURUSD move. On August 19, 2026, an actual of 4.405M against a 6.913M forecast led to a -12 pips EURUSD move.