EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change preview: Market anticipates substantial inventory increase
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change report is scheduled for release on September 2, 2026, at 14:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a substantial increase of 5.822M barrels, a significant jump from the previous reading of 0.095M. This high impact release often draws considerable attention from energy and currency traders, as changes in crude oil inventories can signal shifts in demand and supply dynamics.
Historically, this release has generated notable volatility across major currency pairs and gold. For instance, EURUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 8 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 14+ pips. GBPUSD has experienced a median 11 pips move, reaching 19+ pips in its top-quarter events. USDCAD typically moves a median of 10 pips, with top-quarter reactions exceeding 18+ pips. XAUUSD, or gold, has shown a median 1-hour move of 22 pips, with its most impactful releases moving 46+ pips. Other pairs like AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF, and USDJPY also show median moves ranging from 6 to 8 pips. Directional reliability statistics are not yet available for this series.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes. The most recent print on August 26, 2026, registered an actual 0.095M against a forecast of 5.39M, leading to an +8.4 pips EURUSD 1-hour move. Prior to that, the August 19, 2026, release saw an actual 4.405M versus a 6.913M forecast, resulting in a -12 pips EURUSD 1-hour move.