GBP GDP y/y preview: UK growth data on deck
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| GBPUSD | — | — |
The United Kingdom’s annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures are scheduled for release on 2026-08-13 at 06:00 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 1.1% year over year, matching the previous period’s 1.1%. This release is rated as having a High impact on the market, indicating its potential to influence GBP crosses.
Historically, this release has prompted notable price movements across GBP pairs. For GBPUSD, the median 1-hour move after past releases has been 12 pips, with top-quarter releases seeing moves of 17+ pips. GBPJPY has shown a median 1-hour move of 16 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 27+ pips. GBPNZD has seen a median 1-hour move of 19 pips, and top-quarter releases have moved 30+ pips. Other pairs like GBPAUD, GBPCAD, and GBPCHF have also experienced median 1-hour moves of 16 pips, 13 pips, and 11 pips respectively, with top-quarter moves exceeding 26 pips, 21 pips, and 18 pips. EURGBP has seen a median 1-hour move of 5 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 12+ pips.
Recent data prints show the actual GDP y/y figure has remained around the 1% to 1.4% range. The most recent release on May 14, 2026, saw an actual reading of 1.1%, followed by a +12 pips 1-hour move in GBPUSD. Prior to that, a 1% actual in March 2026 led to a +3.9 pips move in GBPUSD, and a 1% actual in February 2026 saw a -5.8 pips move.