GDP q/q (GBP) preview: Market anticipates growth slowdown
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| GBPUSD | — | — |
The UK is scheduled to release its GDP q/q data on August 13, 2026, at 06:00 UTC. Market consensus forecasts growth at 0.3%, a notable decrease from the previous reading of 0.6%. This release is rated as high impact, serving as a key indicator of the overall health and momentum of the British economy.
Historically, this release has generated significant movement across GBP pairs. Our data shows that EURGBP has seen a median 1-hour move of 5 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 12+ pips. GBPAUD typically moves 16 pips (median), with top-quarter moves of 26+ pips. For GBPCAD, the median move is 13 pips, and top-quarter moves are 21+ pips. GBPCHF has a median move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 18+ pips. GBPJPY has seen a median move of 16 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 27+ pips. GBPNZD shows a median move of 19 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 30+ pips. GBPUSD has a median 1-hour move of 12 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 17+ pips. Direction-reliability statistics are not yet available for this event.
Recent actual readings for GDP q/q include 0.6% in May 2026, which saw GBPUSD move +12 pips in one hour. Prior to that, March 2026 recorded 0.1%, with GBPUSD moving +3.9 pips. February 2026 also saw 0.1%, resulting in a -5.8 pips move for GBPUSD. December 2025’s 0.1% led to a -4.0 pips move, while November 2025’s 0.1% resulted in a +3.9 pips move. September 2025’s reading of 0.3% was followed by a +7.3 pips move in GBPUSD.