GDP q/q (USD) preview: Consensus points to stronger growth
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming US Gross Domestic Product quarter over quarter release is scheduled for 2026-10-29 at 12:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 3.2%, a notable increase from the previous quarter’s 1.5%. This release is rated as high impact, as GDP provides a broad measure of economic activity and growth.
Historically, this release has generated significant market movement. Our data shows that after past GDP q/q releases, EURUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 18+ pips. GBPUSD has experienced a median 1-hour move of 14 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 27+ pips. For XAUUSD, the median 1-hour move was 25 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 75+ pips. These statistics are measured over 117 to 119 releases since 2015. The direction reliability for EURUSD after these events stands at 56%.
Recent prints show varied outcomes. The September 2026 release saw an actual of 2.2% against a forecast of 1.5%, with EURUSD moving +2.1 pips. In August 2026, the actual matched the forecast at 1.5%, leading to a -15 pips EURUSD move. The June 2026 release showed an actual of 2.1% against a forecast of 1.6%, resulting in a +25 pips EURUSD move.