ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid preview: consensus 80.7 against 77.9 prior

The ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid index is due at 15:00 UTC on 2 November 2026. The market consensus is 80.7, compared with a previous reading of 77.9. A print at consensus would mark a rise of 2.8 points from the last release. The index tracks input costs reported by US manufacturers, so it draws attention as a gauge of price pressure in the sector. The impact rating is High.

Here is how hard this release has hit in the past. Our price feed measured the move in the first hour after each release since 2015. For EURUSD, the median 1-hour move is 12 pips, and the top quarter of releases moved 20+ pips (123 releases). GBPUSD has a median of 16 pips, with the top quarter at 28+ pips. USDJPY shows a median of 14 pips and 27+ pips in the top quarter (117 releases). AUDUSD and USDCHF and USDCAD each have a median of 11 pips, with top-quarter moves of 20+, 21+ and 21+ pips respectively. NZDUSD is the quietest at a median of 8 pips, and 16+ pips in the top quarter (122 releases). XAUUSD has a median of 37 pips, with the top quarter at 60+ pips (121 releases). We do not yet have enough live-captured releases to publish direction statistics.

Recent prints have mostly come in above forecast. The October release was 77.9 against a forecast of 76.3, and EURUSD moved -30 pips in the following hour. September printed 71.1 against 63.5 (EURUSD -5.2 pips), and August printed 71.1 against 65.7 (EURUSD -13 pips). June came in at 82.1 against a forecast of 87.9, with EURUSD moving +7.6 pips. May printed 84.6 against 82.6 (EURUSD +5.5 pips). These are individual past releases, and they do not indicate how the next one will play out.