ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid preview: Consensus points to a decline from previous
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid index for the United States is scheduled for release on September 1, 2026, at 14:00 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 63.5, a notable decrease from the previous figure of 71.1. This indicator is closely watched by traders and analysts as a key gauge of inflationary pressures within the manufacturing sector, providing insights into potential future consumer price trends and influencing Federal Reserve policy outlook.
Historically, this release has generated significant market reactions. Our data shows that AUDUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 20+ pips. EURUSD typically moves 12 pips on average, with top-quarter events exceeding 19 pips. GBPUSD has a median move of 16 pips, and top-quarter releases have seen 28+ pips. For USDJPY, the median 1-hour move is 14 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 27+ pips. Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a median 1-hour move of 36 pips, with top-quarter reactions exceeding 60+ pips. Direction-reliability statistics are not yet available for this series.
Recent prints have shown varied outcomes. The August 2026 release came in at 71.1, against a forecast of 65.7, leading to a –13 pip 1-hour move in EURUSD. The July 2026 reading was 73, with EURUSD showing no 1-hour move. In June 2026, the actual was 82.1 versus a forecast of 87.9, resulting in a +7.6 pip EURUSD move. The May 2026 figure was 84.6 against a 82.6 forecast, with EURUSD moving +5.5 pips. The March 2026 release saw an actual of 70.5 against a 62.2 forecast, leading to a –37 pip EURUSD move.