ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid preview: Inflation gauge in focus
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid index for the United States is scheduled for release on October 1, 2026, at 14:00 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 76.3, an increase from the previous figure of 71.1. This high-impact release is closely watched as a key indicator of inflationary pressures within the manufacturing sector, reflecting the prices paid by purchasing managers for inputs.
Historically, this release has generated notable market movements. After past releases, AUDUSD and EURUSD have recorded median 1-hour moves of 11 pips, with top-quarter movements exceeding 20 pips and 19 pips respectively. GBPUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 16 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 28+ pips. NZDUSD typically experiences a median 1-hour move of 8 pips, with top-quarter moves over 16 pips. For the USD crosses, USDCAD and USDCHF have shown median 1-hour moves of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 21+ pips and 20+ pips. USDJPY has registered a median 1-hour move of 14 pips, with top-quarter movements of 27+ pips. Gold, XAUUSD, has seen a median 1-hour move of 36 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 60+ pips. These statistics are measured over 116 to 122 releases since 2015, depending on the pair.
Recent prints show the actual reading for September 2026 was 71.1 against a forecast of 63.5, resulting in a EURUSD 1-hour move of -5.2 pips. In August 2026, the actual was 71.1 with a forecast of 65.7, leading to a -13 pips EURUSD move. The July 2026 actual was 73, with no recorded forecast, and EURUSD saw a 0.0 pips move.