JPY GDP q/q preview: Focus on growth stability
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| USDJPY | — | — |
Japan’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) quarter-over-quarter data is scheduled for release on 2026-09-07 at 23:50 UTC. This high impact economic indicator is closely watched for insights into the health of the Japanese economy. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 0.3%, which matches the previous quarter’s growth figure of 0.3%. This suggests that analysts expect a continuation of the current growth trajectory.
Historically, JPY GDP releases have often led to notable market movements across JPY pairs. Based on our data since 2015, USDJPY has seen a median 1-hour move of 9 pips after these releases, with top-quarter releases moving 19+ pips. GBPJPY typically experiences larger shifts, with a median 1-hour move of 11 pips and top-quarter releases moving 20+ pips. Other pairs like AUDJPY, EURJPY, and NZDJPY have shown median 1-hour moves of 8 pips, while CADJPY and CHFJPY have seen median moves of 7 pips. Directional reliability statistics are not yet available for this release.
Recent releases have shown varied outcomes. The most recent print on August 17, 2026, reported an actual 0.3% against a forecast of 0.1%, with USDJPY moving -11 pips in the hour following. Prior to that, the June 8, 2026 release saw an actual 0.5% matching the forecast, leading to a -5.4 pips move in USDJPY. The May 19, 2026 release showed an actual 0.5% against a 0.4% forecast, with USDJPY moving +12 pips.