MNI Chicago Business Barometer preview: Consensus points to stronger business activity
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The MNI Chicago Business Barometer, a high impact economic release for the US Dollar, is scheduled for publication on August 31, 2026, at 13:45 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 58.9, an increase from the previous month’s 57.6. This suggests analysts expect an expansion in business activity in the Chicago region, a key indicator for the broader US manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors.
Historically, this release has been associated with notable price movements across major currency pairs. After past releases, EURUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 17+ pips. GBPUSD has registered a median 1-hour move of 15 pips, with top-quarter moves of 26+ pips. USDCAD has observed a median 1-hour move of 16 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 23+ pips. Gold, XAUUSD, has shown a median 1-hour move of 31 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 66+ pips.
Recent prints show varied outcomes. The July 2026 release came in at 57.6, with EURUSD moving +21 pips in the hour following. The June 2026 actual was 56.7, followed by a +18 pips move in EURUSD. The May 2026 reading was 62.7, with EURUSD moving -3.2 pips.