Non-Farm Payrolls comes in at 162K against 41K consensus
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
Non-Farm Payrolls for September 2026 came in significantly above expectations. The US economy added 162K jobs, compared to a consensus forecast of 41K. This represents a 295.1% surprise versus the consensus. The previous month’s figure was revised to -23K.
Following the release, the US Dollar strengthened against major currencies. AUDUSD moved -20 pips, EURUSD -27 pips, GBPUSD -35 pips, and NZDUSD -27 pips within 15 minutes. USDCAD gained +70 pips, USDCHF +33 pips, and USDJPY +22 pips. Gold, XAUUSD, fell by -759 pips. These moves generally exceeded the median 1-hour moves observed after past Non-Farm Payrolls releases. For example, EURUSD’s -27 pip move is larger than its median 1-hour move of 22 pips, and GBPUSD’s -35 pip move is also larger than its median of 22 pips. XAUUSD’s -759 pip decline significantly surpassed its median 1-hour move of 55 pips and its top-quarter move of 126+ pips.