Retail Control m/m comes in at 0.5% against 0.1% consensus
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The latest US Retail Control m/m data for July 2026, released today, showed an increase of 0.5%. This figure came in above the market consensus expectation of 0.1%. The previous month’s reading was 0.7%. The actual print represented a 400.0% surprise compared to the consensus forecast.
Following the release, market reactions were observed across major currency pairs and gold. Fifteen minutes after the data, AUDUSD moved -5.7 pips, EURUSD moved -12 pips, and GBPUSD moved -3.5 pips. NZDUSD saw a move of -8.1 pips. USDCAD moved -0.2 pips, USDCHF moved +9.4 pips, and USDJPY moved +9.3 pips. Gold, XAUUSD, moved -240 pips in the same timeframe. For context, after past releases, EURUSD has typically seen a median 1-hour move of 13 pips, and XAUUSD a median 1-hour move of 34 pips. The measured moves for most pairs so far are smaller than their respective median 1-hour moves observed after past releases.