S&P Global Manufacturing PMI preview: Consensus points to slight dip
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for the United States is scheduled for release on 2026-10-01 at 13:45 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 52.6, which would represent a decline from the previous month’s actual figure of 53.9. This indicator provides insight into the health of the manufacturing sector, a key component of the US economy, and is rated as a high-impact release for forex markets.
Historically, this release has been associated with notable price movements across various currency pairs. Based on 200+ past releases since 2015, the median 1-hour move after this event has been 9 pips for AUDUSD, 11 pips for EURUSD, 14 pips for GBPUSD, 7 pips for NZDUSD, 12 pips for USDCAD, 9 pips for USDCHF, and 14 pips for USDJPY. For XAUUSD, the median 1-hour move was 31 pips. Top-quarter releases have seen even larger movements, exceeding 17 pips for AUDUSD, 22 pips for EURUSD, 26 pips for GBPUSD, 15 pips for NZDUSD, 22 pips for USDCAD, 18 pips for USDCHF, 24 pips for USDJPY, and 63 pips for XAUUSD.
Recent actual readings for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI include 53.9 in September, 53.9 in August, and 55.7 in July. Following the September release, EURUSD moved -1.3 pips in one hour. The August release saw a -16 pips move for EURUSD, while the July release was followed by a -9.9 pips move for EURUSD.