UK GDP m/m preview: Market expects 0.0% growth
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| GBPUSD | — | — |
The UK GDP month over month release is scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 06:00 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a 0.0% growth rate, a slight deceleration from the previous reading of 0.1%. This high impact release serves as a key barometer for the health of the UK economy and can influence Bank of England policy expectations.
Historically, this release has generated significant market movement across GBP pairs. On GBPUSD, the median 1-hour move after past releases has been 13 pips, with top-quarter events seeing moves of 22+ pips over 97 releases since 2015. Other pairs also show notable reactions. EURGBP has seen a median 1-hour move of 6 pips, GBPAUD 17 pips, GBPCAD 12 pips, GBPCHF 10 pips, GBPJPY 15 pips, and GBPNZD 18 pips. The direction reliability on GBPUSD has been 57% in a live sample.
Recent prints have shown varied outcomes. The June 2026 release registered -0.1% and was followed by a +11 pip move on GBPUSD. In May 2026, the actual was 0.3%, leading to a +12 pip move. The March 2026 print of 0% saw a -36 pip move on GBPUSD, while the February 2026 actual of 0.1% resulted in a +16 pip move.