US GDP q/q preview: Consensus matches previous reading
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The upcoming US GDP q/q release is scheduled for 2026-09-30 at 12:30 UTC. Market consensus anticipates a reading of 1.5%, which aligns with the previous quarter’s figure of 1.5%. As a primary indicator of economic health, Gross Domestic Product carries a high impact rating, making it a closely watched release for currency traders.
Historically, this release has generated significant market activity across major currency pairs. After past US GDP releases, EURUSD has seen a median 1-hour move of 11 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 18+ pips across 118 releases since 2015. GBPUSD typically observes a median 1-hour move of 15 pips, with top-quarter events moving 27+ pips over 118 releases. For USDJPY, the median 1-hour move is 11 pips, with top-quarter moves exceeding 28+ pips from 113 releases. Gold, XAUUSD, has shown a median 1-hour move of 25 pips, with top-quarter releases moving 76+ pips over 117 releases. The directional reliability for EURUSD after these events stands at 56%.
Recent prints show varied reactions. The most recent release on August 26, 2026, reported an actual 1.5% against a forecast of 1.5%, resulting in a -15 pips move for EURUSD in the hour following. On July 30, 2026, an actual 1.5% against a forecast of 1.7% led to a +3.8 pips move for EURUSD. Prior to that, on June 25, 2026, an actual 2.1% compared to a 1.6% forecast saw EURUSD move +25 pips.