US Trade Balance comes in at -105.572B against -81.515B consensus
| Pair | Now | Since publish |
|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | — | — |
| USDJPY | — | — |
The US Trade Balance for October 6, 2026, was reported at a deficit of -105.572B. This figure came in significantly wider than the consensus estimate of -81.515B, representing a -29.5% surprise. The actual deficit also widened from the previous reading of -88.576B.
Following the release, initial market reaction across major USD pairs was generally limited. Fifteen minutes after the data, AUDUSD was up +0.9 pips, EURUSD was down -1.6 pips, and GBPUSD was up +4.2 pips. NZDUSD gained +0.4 pips, while USDCAD fell -5.1 pips. USDCHF was down -0.8 pips, and USDJPY declined -7.4 pips. XAUUSD was down -28 pips. For most pairs, these movements were modest when compared to their historical median 1-hour moves, which typically range from 7 to 13 pips for currency pairs and 30 pips for XAUUSD after past releases.