RBA Governor Lowe Speech - ForexCracked
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Australia

RBA Governor Lowe Speech AUD

High impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The RBA Governor Lowe Speech refers to public addresses delivered by the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia. These speeches cover a range of economic and financial topics, often providing insights into the central bank’s current views on monetary policy, economic conditions, and financial stability. The official source for information related to these speeches is rba.gov.au. This series falls within the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor these speeches because they can signal potential shifts in Australia’s monetary policy direction. The Governor’s remarks often clarify the central bank’s stance on interest rates, inflation targets, and economic growth forecasts. Such commentary can influence market expectations for future policy actions, which in turn affects the Australian dollar’s valuation.

The market typically focuses on the specific language and forward guidance contained within the Governor’s speech. Traders analyze key phrases for clues about the RBA’s near-term and long-term policy intentions. Given its High typical impact rating, significant deviations from expected commentary or new policy signals can lead to notable volatility in AUD currency pairs immediately following the speech.

How hard it hits, measured

95 releases · own feed
Typical AUDUSD move
6pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
10pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
63pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
AUDUSD2.3p3.4p5.8p10p
AUDCAD2.4p3.6p6.5p10p
AUDCHF1.8p3.7p4.4p8.0p
AUDJPY2.8p4.8p5.4p11p
AUDNZD2.4p4.0p6.3p11p
EURAUD4.0p6.9p9.5p18p
GBPAUD4.9p7.9p15p27p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toAUDUSD 1h
Sep 6, 2023+2.2p
Jul 12, 2023-18p
Feb 16, 2023-12p
Feb 15, 2023+1.0p
Dec 13, 2022-9.6p
Dec 2, 2022+13p
Nov 27, 2022-7.9p
Nov 22, 2022+6.0p
Oct 31, 2022-7.8p
Sep 15, 2022+16p
Sep 8, 2022-23p
Jul 19, 2022-10p
Jul 17, 2022
Jun 24, 2022+5.0p
Jun 21, 2022+4.4p
Mar 22, 2022-8.4p
Mar 10, 2022-2.9p
Mar 8, 2022+2.1p
Feb 19, 2022
Feb 10, 2022-6.0p
Feb 2, 2022-4.4p
Dec 15, 2021-15p
Dec 8, 2021-5.5p
Nov 16, 2021+2.8p

Showing the latest 24 of 101 tracked releases.

Reaction = AUDUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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