BoC Governor Poloz Speech - ForexCracked
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Canada

BoC Governor Poloz Speech CAD

High impact Updated after every release

What this release is

Speeches by the Governor of the Bank of Canada, the nation’s central bank, provide direct communication on the state of the Canadian economy and financial sector. These addresses, officially sourced from bankofcanada.ca, are a key release in the money sector. They often detail the central bank’s perspective on inflation, economic growth, and financial stability.

Forex traders closely monitor these speeches for signals regarding future monetary policy. The Governor’s commentary can offer clues about potential changes to interest rates or the central bank’s overall stance, directly influencing expectations for the Canadian dollar. Historically, these events have had a High typical impact on CAD currency pairs.

The market typically reacts to the tone and specific forward guidance within the speech. Traders often scrutinize remarks for any shifts in policy direction or economic outlook. Significant changes in language or new policy indications can lead to immediate market adjustments as participants digest the central bank’s latest views.

How hard it hits, measured

52 releases · own feed
Typical USDCAD move
10pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
19pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
125pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDCAD2.4p5.6p9.7p19p
AUDCAD1.9p5.1p6.8p12p
CADCHF1.6p4.1p4.4p17p
CADJPY2.3p6.2p6.2p16p
EURCAD3.4p8.0p12p34p
GBPCAD3.7p6.5p16p34p
NZDCAD2.3p5.3p6.9p13p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDCAD 1h
May 26, 2020+9.7p
May 25, 2020+2.7p
Apr 30, 2020+18p
Apr 16, 2020-30p
Mar 5, 2020+5.2p
Feb 13, 2020+0.1p
Jan 9, 2020-11p
Dec 12, 2019+5.7p
Nov 25, 2019-4.2p
Nov 21, 2019-42p
Nov 15, 2019-13p
May 16, 2019+0.1p
May 6, 2019-1.7p
May 1, 2019-8.9p
Apr 30, 2019-25p
Apr 1, 2019+6.7p
Feb 21, 2019+21p
Dec 6, 2018+8.7p
Nov 5, 2018-19p
Oct 31, 2018-2.7p
Oct 30, 2018-12p
Oct 4, 2018+17p
Sep 27, 2018-4.3p
Aug 25, 2018

Showing the latest 24 of 53 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDCAD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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