BOC Monetary Policy Report - ForexCracked
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Canada

BOC Monetary Policy Report CAD

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Wed, Oct 28 13:45 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report, published by the Bank of Canada at bankofcanada.ca, provides a comprehensive analysis of the Canadian economy and the outlook for inflation. This release falls under the money sector, offering detailed insights into the central bank’s economic assessments.

Forex traders closely monitor this report because it offers critical insights into the central bank’s perspective on economic conditions and its future monetary policy stance. Changes in the Bank of Canada’s policy outlook can significantly influence interest rate expectations, which in turn affect the valuation of the Canadian dollar.

After past releases, market participants typically focus on the report’s projections for economic growth, inflation, and the rationale behind the central bank’s policy decisions. The detailed economic forecasts and forward guidance are often scrutinized for clues about potential shifts in interest rates. This report typically has a High impact on the market.

How hard it hits, measured

40 releases · own feed
Typical USDCAD move
30pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
58pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
149pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDCAD32p31p30p58p
AUDCAD22p17p20p39p
CADCHF17p14p16p28p
CADJPY23p24p24p38p
EURCAD36p32p37p58p
GBPCAD44p51p38p77p
NZDCAD18p16p16p34p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDCAD 1h
Jul 15, 2026-5.5p
Apr 29, 2026-4.3p
Jan 28, 2026+5.6p
Oct 29, 2025-17p
Jul 30, 2025+3.4p
Apr 16, 2025-31p
Jan 29, 2025-1.5p
Oct 23, 2024+19p
Jul 24, 2024+21p
Apr 10, 2024-4.8p
Jan 24, 2024+40p
Oct 25, 2023+13p
Jul 12, 2023-29p
Apr 12, 2023-13p
Jan 25, 2023+50p
Oct 26, 2022-23p
Jul 13, 2022-68p
Apr 13, 2022-25p
Jan 26, 2022+56p
Oct 27, 2021-67p
Jul 14, 2021+35p
Apr 21, 2021-149p
Jan 20, 2021-72p
Oct 28, 2020+43p

Showing the latest 24 of 40 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDCAD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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