CFTC GBP Non-Commercial Net Positions - ForexCracked
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United Kingdom

CFTC GBP Non-Commercial Net Positions GBP

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Sep 11 19:30 UTC · consensus TBA · previous -49.6K  

What this release is

The CFTC GBP Non-Commercial Net Positions report tracks the difference between long and short futures and options contracts on the British Pound held by non-commercial traders. This weekly market sector release is published by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, cftc.gov.

Forex traders monitor these net positions as an indicator of speculative sentiment towards GBP. Significant shifts in these positions can reflect changes in conviction among large institutional traders. Such movements are often observed to precede or accompany trends in the British Pound’s exchange rates.

The market typically focuses on the week-over-week change in net positions, assessing both the direction and magnitude of these shifts. This release provides a regular snapshot of market positioning. After past releases, market reactions have typically aligned with its medium impact rating.

How hard it hits, measured

519 releases · own feed
Typical GBPUSD move
4pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
8pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
44pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
GBPUSD1.1p2.1p4.0p7.7p
EURGBP0.7p1.0p2.2p4.0p
GBPAUD2.0p2.9p5.5p9.8p
GBPCAD1.8p3.0p6.2p12p
GBPCHF1.2p1.8p4.1p7.1p
GBPJPY2.0p3.1p5.7p11p
GBPNZD2.2p3.5p6.7p12p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus GBPUSD closed the hour lower in 7 of 10 cases · median -1.0p n=10 live
Miss below consensus GBPUSD closed the hour higher in 8 of 14 cases · median +0.6p n=14 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toGBPUSD 1h
Sep 4, 2026-49.6K-44.5K-1.2p
Aug 28, 2026-44.5K-54.6K-1.5p
Aug 21, 2026-54.6K-56.2K-2.3p
Aug 14, 2026-56.2K-57.8K-0.5p
Aug 7, 2026-57.8K-64.8K-11p
Jul 31, 2026-64.8K-55.6K+0.8p
Jul 24, 2026-55.6K-71.3K-4.0p
Jul 17, 2026-71.3K-87.9K-1.4p
Jul 10, 2026-87.9K-102.1K+0.5p
Jul 6, 2026-102.1K-105.7K+1.0p
Jun 26, 2026-105.7K-71.6K+5.9p
Jun 22, 2026-71.6K-64.2K+4.1p
Jun 12, 2026-64.2K-52.2K-14p
Jun 5, 2026-52.2K-61.4K+2.4p
May 29, 2026-61.4K-64.3K-6.0p
May 22, 2026-64.3K-43.1K-0.3p
May 15, 2026-43.1K-63.9K-7.0p
May 8, 2026-63.9K-60.6K+7.5p
May 1, 2026-60.6K-52K-8.9p
Apr 24, 2026-52K-54.7K+5.2p
Apr 17, 2026-54.7K-56.4K-17p
Apr 10, 2026-56.4K-52.7K-1.8p
Apr 3, 2026-52.7K-58.4K-3.9p
Mar 27, 2026-58.4K-65.5K-1.0p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = GBPUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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