S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI - ForexCracked
United Kingdom

S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI GBP

Medium impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI offers a timely look into the health of the UK’s manufacturing sector. This monthly report is based on surveys of purchasing managers, covering aspects such as new orders, production, employment levels, and stock changes. S&P Global and CIPS jointly release this business sector indicator, with data compiled by S&P Global from markiteconomics.com.

Forex traders monitor the Manufacturing PMI for insights into the broader economic trend in the UK. A robust manufacturing sector can suggest stronger economic growth, which may influence the Bank of England’s monetary policy decisions. Conversely, signs of weakness could lead to expectations of a more dovish stance. Changes in economic outlook, as suggested by this report, can affect the perceived attractiveness of the British Pound.

Market participants generally focus on the headline PMI figure upon release. Significant deviations from consensus expectations often lead to immediate market reactions. While initial readings are important, revisions to prior months’ data, if substantial, can also draw attention. The report’s monthly cadence means it provides regular updates on the manufacturing sector’s trajectory.

How hard it hits, measured

204 releases · own feed
Typical GBPUSD move
12pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
25pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
92pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
GBPUSD5.3p7.4p12p25p
EURGBP2.8p3.6p7.4p13p
GBPAUD7.1p12p19p33p
GBPCAD5.9p8.1p16p29p
GBPCHF4.1p6.4p11p22p
GBPJPY6.3p9.1p15p30p
GBPNZD7.7p11p23p39p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus GBPUSD closed the hour higher in 20 of 35 cases · median +2.6p n=35 live
Miss below consensus GBPUSD closed the hour lower in 20 of 33 cases · median -3.9p n=33 live
In line within the surprise band GBPUSD closed the hour lower in 65 of 118 cases · median -2.6p n=118 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toGBPUSD 1h
Oct 1, 2026————-3.1p—
Sep 1, 202651.751.551.5—+9.3p—
Aug 21, 202651.550.951.9—+15p—
Aug 3, 202651.952.852.8—-4.3p—
Jul 24, 202652.852.852.5—-13p—
Jul 1, 202652.553.153.1—+5.3p—
Jun 23, 202653.154.353.9—+2.0p—
Jun 1, 202653.953.753.7—-6.8p—
May 21, 202653.753.853.7—-3.2p—
May 1, 202653.753.653.6—-13p—
Apr 23, 202653.650.451—+13p—
Apr 1, 20265151.451.4—-4.8p—
Mar 24, 202651.452.451.7—+10p—
Mar 2, 202651.75252—+29p—
Feb 20, 202652—50.6—+2.5p—
Jan 2, 202650.6—51.251.2-16p—
Dec 16, 202551.250.250.250.2+13p—
Dec 1, 202550.250.250.2—+1.5p—
Nov 21, 202550.250.249.7—-33p—
Nov 3, 202549.749.649.6—+0.8p—
Oct 24, 202549.6—46.2—+17p—
Oct 1, 202546.2—46.2—-0.8p—
Sep 23, 202546.246.447—-13p—
Sep 1, 20254747.347.3—+4.0p—

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = GBPUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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