BoJ L Money Stock y/y - ForexCracked
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Japan

BoJ L Money Stock y/y JPY

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Tue, Sep 8 23:50 UTC · consensus 4.5% · previous 4.4%  

What this release is

The Bank of Japan publishes the L Money Stock year-over-year series monthly. This release measures the annual percentage change in a broad aggregate of money and liquidity within the Japanese economy, reflecting the overall supply of money available in the money sector.

Forex traders monitor this indicator because changes in the money supply can influence inflation expectations, economic activity levels, and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decisions. Shifts in central bank policy, such as adjustments to interest rates or asset purchase programs, often correlate with movements in the Japanese Yen’s valuation.

After past releases, market participants have typically focused on the headline year-over-year growth rate as a primary indicator. As a recurring monthly release, it provides ongoing insight into the monetary conditions that can affect the Yen, with market reactions often observed following its publication.

How hard it hits, measured

95 releases · own feed
Typical USDJPY move
8pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
14pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
42pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDJPY1.6p4.0p8.4p14p
AUDJPY1.3p3.9p7.3p14p
CADJPY1.2p3.1p6.6p12p
CHFJPY1.2p3.5p6.6p14p
EURJPY1.6p4.1p8.1p15p
GBPJPY2.1p5.6p9.0p17p
NZDJPY1.3p3.3p7.4p12p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus USDJPY closed the hour higher in 15 of 30 cases · median +0.3p n=30 live
Miss below consensus USDJPY closed the hour higher in 21 of 41 cases · median +0.6p n=41 live
In line within the surprise band USDJPY closed the hour higher in 8 of 11 cases · median +3.9p n=11 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDJPY 1h
Aug 11, 20264.4%5.1%4.5%+1.4p
Jul 8, 20264.5%4.9%4.7%-9.8p
Jun 8, 20264.7%3.1%2.8%3.8%-0.4p
May 13, 20262.8%3.3%2.8%-1.5p
Apr 12, 20262.8%3%2.7%2.6%+12p
Mar 9, 20262.7%2.1%2%2.5%-21p
Feb 9, 20262%2%2.1%+14p
Jan 13, 20262.1%1.8%2.1%2.2%+1.0p
Dec 8, 20252.1%1.7%2.2%2.1%-2.8p
Nov 11, 20252.2%2.1%2.1%+14p
Oct 13, 20252.1%2.2%1.9%2%+19p
Sep 8, 20251.9%1.9%1.6%-19p
Aug 11, 20251.6%1%1.5%+20p
Jul 8, 20251.5%1.7%1.4%1.5%-4.2p
Jun 9, 20251.4%2.6%2%2.2%-4.1p
May 12, 20252%3.4%3.2%-25p
Apr 10, 20253.2%3.5%3.2%3.3%-38p
Mar 10, 20253.2%3.6%3.6%3.5%-20p
Feb 11, 20253.6%3.6%3.7%+42p
Jan 14, 20253.7%3.5%3.2%3.5%-2.2p
Dec 9, 20243.2%3.2%3.2%3.1%+3.9p
Nov 11, 20243.2%3.2%3.2%+22p
Oct 10, 20243.2%3.3%2.9%3.2%+2.2p
Sep 9, 20242.9%3.3%2.9%3.1%+14p

Showing the latest 24 of 95 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDJPY move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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