RBNZ Press Conference - ForexCracked
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New Zealand

RBNZ Press Conference NZD

High impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) hosts a press conference following its monetary policy decisions. This event, sourced from rbnz.govt.nz, provides the central bank’s official commentary on its policy stance, economic assessments, and financial sector outlook. It is categorized within the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor the RBNZ Press Conference for signals regarding future monetary policy, particularly changes to the Official Cash Rate. The central bank’s forward guidance and the Governor’s responses to questions can shift market expectations for interest rates, which in turn influences the New Zealand Dollar’s valuation.

The market typically digests this high impact release in real time, focusing on the Governor’s opening statement and the subsequent question and answer session. Key phrases or shifts in tone can prompt immediate market reactions. As a live event, there are no revisions to this release.

How hard it hits, measured

37 releases · own feed
Typical NZDUSD move
10pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
17pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
66pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
NZDUSD2.3p4.8p9.7p17p
AUDNZD3.4p6.2p11p22p
EURNZD7.3p12p24p40p
GBPNZD7.6p15p23p49p
NZDCAD3.3p5.3p11p22p
NZDCHF2.8p4.7p7.0p13p
NZDJPY4.0p6.8p11p20p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toNZDUSD 1h
Sep 2, 2026-17p
Jul 8, 2026+5.1p
Feb 19, 2025-11p
Aug 14, 2024-10p
Feb 28, 2024-9.7p
Nov 29, 2023+2.1p
Aug 16, 2023+1.0p
May 24, 2023-8.6p
Feb 22, 2023+9.8p
Nov 23, 2022+9.0p
Aug 17, 2022-9.8p
May 25, 2022+11p
Feb 23, 2022-6.7p
Nov 24, 2021-6.1p
Aug 18, 2021+13p
May 26, 2021+23p
Feb 24, 2021+1.0p
Nov 11, 2020+20p
Aug 12, 2020+3.2p
May 13, 2020-19p
Mar 15, 2020-66p
Feb 12, 2020+8.5p
Nov 13, 2019+13p
Aug 7, 2019-36p

Showing the latest 24 of 37 tracked releases.

Reaction = NZDUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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